Coronavirus: In France, was the October curfew effective?

    Coronavirus: In France, was the October curfew effective?

    By Rizhlaine F. Photos by Laurent P. Published December 19, 2020 at 5:07 p.m. Updated December 19, 2020 at 5:07 p.m.

    Since deconfinement, the French have swapped the confinement certificate for the curfew certificate. Now between 8 p.m. and 6 a.m., everyone must stay at home. A measure familiar to some French who had already experienced this measure in October 2020. But has it proven to be effective?
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    <p>At 8 p.m., everyone at home! <strong>Since December 15, 2020</strong>, date marked by the end of <strong>reconfinement</strong>, the whole of France must respect a<strong> curfew until 6 a.m.</strong>. A measure that should be introduced at least<strong> until January 20, 2021</strong>. But for some of the French, the situation takes on the air of déjà vu.

    And for good reason, in october 2020, many areas of France have already been affected by a curfew. This restriction had been set up in the territories where the situation was the most worrying in order to counter the second wave of the epidemic and to try to avoid a reconfinement national. Nevertheless, the France will not ultimately have escaped this drastic measure.

    But since the deconfinement, let’s go again for the curfew. But then what were the conclusions to be drawn from the month of October 2020? Has it proven to be effective enough? Several researchers from Public Health France have looked into the issue and unveiled the results of their investigation this Thursday, December 17.

    The analysis therefore focuses on the evolution of indicators within 22 French metropolises divided into three groups. The first concerns the cities that have experienced the curfew from October 17 : Paris, Aix-Marseille, Lyon, Toulouse, Lille, Grenoble, Montpellier, Rouen and Saint-Etienne. The second concerns the metropolises in which it was established on October 24: Strasbourg, Orléans, Nice, Dijon, Nancy, Clermont, Rennes, Toulon and Tours. Finally the last group brings together the metropolises that did not experience a curfew in October: Bordeaux, Brest, Metz and Nantes.

    According to this study, a slowdown inevolution of the epidemic would indeed have intervened earlier in the first cities to have followed a curfew, that is to say the group of October 17, 2020. For the latter, the peak contamination would have been reached on October 27, or 10 days after the implementation of this measure. On the other hand for the group of October 24, 2020 and the group without curfew, this peak was reached almost at the same time, between November 2 and 3, 2020. The drop following the peak will also have been more marked for the group of October 17, 2020.

    This group was also the first to experience a drop in hospitalizations linked to covid before being followed closely by the October 24 group. The group without curfew on the other hand experienced a plateau and will have stagnated for a fortnight.

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