Look for trump

Заглянуть за Трампа

American policy continues to make the intricate turns. The formal beginning of the hearings within the procedure of impeachment of the President of trump confers a touch of sensationalism. Any information from the house of representatives procrastinate in the media, opponents have struggled to apply it in your camp light.American policy continues to make the intricate turns. The formal beginning of the hearings within the procedure of impeachment of the President of trump confers a touch of sensationalism. Any information from the house of representatives procrastinate in the media, opponents have struggled to apply it in your camp light.Although the official primaries will begin in February, the election campaign in the United States is already running. The goal of Democrats is to turn it into a personal analysis of the case of “Komsomolets trump”. This will avoid discussions on the merits to which the Democratic party is not particularly ready. There is a battle between the moderate and the left wing, and the left is clearly fervently, although obviously unelectable at the Federal level.

But even more important the Democrats have not learnt lessons from the defeat of 2016, focusing on the “Russian trace” and the efforts to discredit trump personally. As a result, by 2020, the party came without an attractive agenda that would convince a disillusioned American voters in her willingness to respond to their aspirations. And no candidate who can ignite the masses, as in the time of bill Clinton and Barack Obama.

The main criterion for the validity of the candidate’s ability to beat trump, but it’s not something to offer a brilliant program.

Accordingly, the campaign will be dirty and extremely personalized – the democratic contenders fall on the White house, followed, as usual, will not rust. According to a fresh survey by The New York Times, 84% of Americans say they already know who to vote and not going to change my mind. That is, to shift the balance, you will need armor-piercing advocacy efforts.

Fascinated by the external tinsel, you can not miss the essential. A real awareness of change in the United States, and conclusions are drawn. The author of these lines listened with interest the debate on the American theme at the meeting of the Council on the global future, he meets once a year under the auspices of the Davos forum.

This, of course, the notorious “deep state”, against which publicly reports Donald trump. But representative palette of different professional strata and political camps. Likes and dislikes that plague society, the participants mainly issued outside the brackets, trying to focus on the essence.

The bottom line is the following. Trump’s the American elite already “digested”, that is, in fact, it does not cause shock and awe, rather a desire to understand further. The show, which will continue throughout the coming year, relates to the struggle for power and its important.

But those who examines the processes that look beyond trump, when he would come in 2021 or 2025. According to popular opinion, the President his job voluntarily or involuntarily made. Even if he loses in 2020, a return to what it was before the trump, it is impossible.

Tranism – a period of painful and ugly, but inevitable-correction of the American system, which was in a state of crisis, not now, and went to him consistently. Need recovery feedback with the population. In particular, this success on the international stage.

The main force of the United States has always been not military and even economic power and the perception of the image of the country as the most adapted for success and fulfillment, the ability to attract the most valuable human capital. This is a problem, we need inner transformation, and the current President of the United States became a catalyst for change.

Donald trump calls almost physiological rejection of the overwhelming majority of the foreign policy establishment in the United States. But almost nobody argues that foreign policy can not do without a new concept of the American presence in the world.

Previous leadership ambitions are out of date, but there is a growing need for this course which will guarantee the protection not just of the Mercantile interests, and a particular system is beneficial to the United States rules. It’s hard because a) the “liberal world order” in its present form is unrecoverable; b) the society strongly cooled down to foreign policy.

The elite consensus on China to restrain and inhibit. There are different interpretations regarding the means, but the goal shared by all. Curious different types of motivation. The protectionists and opponents of globalization see in an economic symbiosis with China anti-national model. Officials estimate the growing potential and are sounding the alarm.

But supporters of globalism, active U.S. involvement in world Affairs is not averse to using the China threat in order to mobilize the population to interest in operations outside their own territory. Like, you need to repel, otherwise the threat will come here. In fact, the desire to reproduce the model of the cold war with China instead of the Soviet Union, to overcome the instinctive isolationism significant portion of Americans.

Curiously, in all this rich discussion, Russia was practically absent. To all the hype the past three years, the participants are treated as fact purely political.

In terms of foreign policy they did not consider Russia a strategic priority and, most importantly, a long-term factor. We need to find out for yourself, good or bad, but the overall picture today is as follows.
Fyodor Lukyanov

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