Politico: NATO has split into two organizations

Politico: НАТО разделился на две организации

There are two NATO’s. One of them is a powerful military machine which conducts training, planning and coordination to adapt to new threats to the security of Europe and North America. And the other is a political Alliance that depends on the unity and resolve of leaders on both sides of the Atlantic. “First — let’s call it a conditional NATO 1 — works relatively well. Defense budgets are rising once again after 25 years of cuts, military readiness is gradually improving, and the international troops deployed in the Baltic States and Poland, to deter potential Russian aggression. Work is ongoing to deter cyber attacks, hybrid and cosmic threats and to improve prospects for a rapid movement of reinforcements,” writes Politico.Second, conditional NATO 2, is in deep crisis. The US President, who called the Alliance a “legacy”, loves to scold European governments for defense spending, trade, climate change, and the unwillingness to accept the return of the terrorists captured in Syria. The “Quartet” of countries including USA, UK, Germany and France, formed the decision of the West for decades. In the era of trump, it is not functioning what they are talking about insiders. The leaders of the allies will learn about the decisions of the American President, which affect their security and strategic interests, from Twitter.Coordination is very poor, which became obvious last month, when trump ordered the withdrawal of American troops from the North of Syria, where they fought side by side with French and British soldiers against Islamic state (a terrorist organization banned in Russia. — approx.ed.). All this happened without consultation with the NATO allies. The chaotic withdrawal of troops from Syria, which allowed NATO member Turkey to launch an offensive against the Western allies of the Kurds without any consultation, prompted the President of France Emmanuel Makron to diagnose “brain death” NATO and to encourage the Europeans to build a standalone defensive capabilities. The U.S., he said, turned away from Europe.Both NATO: well “oiled” war machine incapable of functioning political family, will be on display when the leaders of the allies will hold a short meeting in the outskirts of London on 4 December to mark the 70th anniversary of the Union. Without a doubt, there are many issues to discuss that relate to NATO 1. The white house said that trump wants to talk about defense spending, as always. In addition, he intends to raise the issue of cyber security, critical infrastructure, telecommunications, and terrorism. NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg, who rejects all talk about the crisis in the Alliance, wants to use the London meeting to stress the growth of defense budgets, including the additional 100 billion dollars from Europe and Canada. He also indicated progress in NATO’s purpose is to improve combat readiness. The allies want to be able to deploy 30 battleships, 30 squadrons of the air force and 30 of the land battalions for 30 days. The European allies might agree to take $ 1.65 billion annual costs to reduce the share of the United States.The problem is that all of these statistics and statements will be of little consequence if NATO will lose the political will to consult and act quickly in the event of a crisis. The ability to make quick decisions is extremely important, especially in times of rapid and insolent hybrid conflicts that combine the use of soldiers unmarked, sabotage, cyber attacks and disinformation. Two years ago during a training exercise on the theme of the hybrid scenario of the beginning of the war, the North Atlantic Council spent five days to make a decision on the application of Forces high readiness. But when the decision was made, the commander of NATO in Europe reported that the most mobile unit of the Alliance can no longer be used. If the crisis will start actually, whether Germany is cowardly to hold back NATO’s decision, conduct discussions in the Bundestag? Or will loyal to the Russian allies, such as Hungary, to gain time? On whose side the authoritarian President Recep Rejep Tayyip Erdogan? And will the fate of NATO hanging in the balance because of one unpredictable tweeted message from the President of the United States? Political Alliance, which must be the backbone of the military, in dire need of repair. Meanwhile, in London the majority of the allies and NATO officials are likely to be focused on how to avoid the next quarrel with the tramp at the pleasure of the President of Russia Vladimir Putin.

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