However, there is a high probability of deviation from the official forecast.
In the next three years the average value of the dollar will increase by almost three hryvnia, informs Rus.Media.
This is evidenced by Macroeconomic review and forecast of the Ministry of Finance in January.
“The exchange rate of the hryvnia to the US dollar (average for the period) in 2019 will amount to 28.2, in 2020 – 29,7, in 2021 – 30,4”, – stated in the review.
According to the document, last year the dollar in Ukraine, the average cost of 27.5 UAH. The review also reported that in 2019 the economic growth may slow down to 3%. “The key macroeconomic risks for a negative scenario in 2019 – a growth of tension in the East of Ukraine, the further complication of countries’ access to international capital markets, global slowdown “investors’ appetite for risk”, a decrease in prices for metals and agricultural products, the slowdown in economic growth in the EU”, – stated in the review.
These factors increase the likelihood of not achieving the projected economic growth for this year to 3%, said the Ministry of Finance. “As a result, in 2019 there is a high probability of deviation from the official forecast to decline than increase,” – stated in the message.